Featured ELN Publications
Managing Hazardous Incidents in the Euro-Atlantic Area: A New Plan of Action
In the most comprehensive public study of its kind, the ELN examines existing the agreements for avoiding dangerous military incidents between NATO countries, NATO partners, and Russia before outlining definite mechanisms for their improvement.
Avoiding Hazardous Incidents in the Euro-Atlantic Area: Post-workshop report
The ELN's post-workshop report provides a summary of the debate on the gravity of threat posed by military-military and military-civilian incidents, the relevance of the existing mechanisms for managing them, and the proposals for tackling the problem more effectively.
ELN Member Survey on EU-Russia Relations
ELN Members have been surveyed on EU-Russia relations in order to inform the EU's new Global Strategy on Foreign and Security Policy.
Countering the Threats from the Middle East
The Task Force on Cooperation in Greater Europe warns of the danger that the Syrian crisis could develop into an interstate conflict.
Avoiding War in Europe: How to Reduce the Risk of a Military Encounter Between Russia and NATO
Russia-West Leadership Group calls for new military memorandum of understanding between NATO, its partners, and Russia
Anatomy of a Russian Exercise
A detailed account of the Russian snap exercise that took place in March 2015 featuring an interactive map. The exercise involved 80,000 troops, 65 warships, and 220 aircraft. The scale of this operation means it could only have been a scenario simulating war with NATO.
Brinkmanship, Deterrence and De-escalation between NATO and Russia
Report from a roundtable discussion held in London, co-organised by the ELN, NATO, and the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office.
Russia – West Dangerous Brinkmanship Continues
Against the backdrop of further violence in Ukraine and broader hostile rhetoric, the dangerous Russia-West incidents highlighted by the ELN in November 2014 have continued. This update charts 27 new incidents, highlighting the validity of our Report’s recommendations.
The Eurasian Economic Union: a bridge to nowhere?
ELN Researcher Joseph Dobbs argues that the Ukraine crisis has seriously weakened the Eurasian Economic Union. Externally, China is unlikely to be a steadfast supporter, and the European Union must not engage until there has been a satisfactory resolution to the Ukraine crisis.
The Wales Pledge Revisited: A Preliminary Analysis of 2015 Budget Decisions in NATO Member States
A new ELN Policy Brief assesses the 2015 defence expenditure plans of a diverse group of 14 NATO states, finding that many are failing to live up to the commitments made at the Wales Summit. This is in stark contrast to the rhetoric that the Ukraine crisis has been a "game changer" for European security.
Dangerous Brinkmanship: Close Military Encounters Between Russia and the West in 2014
A new ELN Policy Brief highlights the dangerously close encounters between Russian and Western militaries in 2014, and just how close we have come to unwanted dangerous escalation.
NATO in Wales: Summit of missed opportunities
Ian Kearns argues that despite the achievements of the NATO Summit, two key questions remain unanswered: What is the West's strategy towards Russia? And how will the West pay for it?
NATO at a Crossroads – Again: Recommendations for the Newport Summit
Ahead of the NATO Summit in Newport, Łukasz Kulesa, Research Director at the ELN, puts forward key recommendations on what a successful Summit would look like.
Crisis Management in Europe in the Context of Events in Ukraine
A Pan-European Task Force including former foreign and defence ministers and senior diplomats from the U.K., Poland, Russia, Germany, Turkey and France has today expressed its concern over the danger of a possible unintended escalation of the Ukraine crisis into a direct NATO-Russia military confrontation.
The Foreign and Security Policies of Populist Parties in Europe: An ELN Quick-Guide
Ahead of this week’s European Parliament elections and in the midst of an international crisis over Ukraine, a new Quick Guide by the ELN reviews the foreign and security policies of 8 of the continent’s leading populist parties.
ELN Policy Briefs and Commentaries
Why Moldova is Failing and What can be Done
Thomas Frear examines the severe problems faced by the Moldovan economy and the role of western institutions in preventing a collapse.
Downing of a Russian Jet: Where do we go from here?
ELN Research Director, Lukasz Kulesa, and Research Fellow, Thomas Frear, outline three priorities in responding to the downing of a Russian jet by Turkish forces; establish the facts, de-escalate the crisis and urgently develop procedures to avoid another crisis.
Aligning Western Values and Interests in Syria: Time to Learn from Putin
Ian Kearns proposes a mix of greater use of western military power, more support for the countries in the region and, controversially for some, a willingness to negotiate with Assad.
ELN Network Members Endorse Task Force Proposal
2 Former NATO Sec Gens among 78 members of the European Leadership Network to support call for NATO and Russia to negotiate a new memorandum of understanding on close military encounters in Europe.
Preparing for the Worst: Are Russian and NATO Military Exercises Making War in Europe more Likely?
ELN policy brief explains why an action-reaction exercise cycle is concerning, and what needs to be done about it.
Europe’s New Challenge: The Battle to Save Ukraine’s Economy
Nearly 70 years on from the Marshall Plan, the ELN’s Joseph Dobbs and Ian Kearns argue that a failed-state on Europe’s periphery would strike at the heart of the EU’s raison d’etre, and that the continent must act to save Ukraine’s economy and ensure its stability.