The lesson of Nord Stream 2 is clear: the German public debate needs more realism. To continue pretending that Germany can increase its economic dependence on Russia at little to no geopolitical cost is naïve ostpolitik, suggest ELN Policy Fellow Dr Maximilian Hoell.
Marina Favaro summarises her recent report “Weapons of Mass Distortion” for King’s College London that uses machine learning to explore which emerging technologies are most likely to escalate a crisis past the nuclear threshold.
This is the right moment to reinvigorate discussion on European agency, argues Pavel Kanevskiy. Russia and the US will find ways to cooperate but the core issues of European security can only be addressed with the active engagement of Europeans themselves.
Our networks are at the heart of our policy impact. Reaching right across Europe they bring together established figures with emerging leaders who are all committed to better security for Europe.
As Armenia goes to the polls this weekend, Andreas Persbo writes that the election will have implications for the political landscape of the region. But it also represents an opportunity for multilateral cooperation that Brussels, Moscow and Washington should grasp.
Rather than forever circling the wagons, NATO needs to develop its own ideas so that it can respond credibly to its adversaries’ proposals and restore its leadership role. As the alliance’s leaders gather this week, the ELN’s director Adam Thomson argues that they must recognize that reviving the arms-control agenda is the key to members’ collective defence.
Ahead of the NATO Summit, five members of the ELN’s senior network share their views and analysis
Policy briefs & reports
Mistakes, misunderstandings and miscalculation – reducing the risk of NATO/Russia military incidents and escalation: ELN-LIIA round table report
Ahead of the NATO and Biden-Putin Summits, the ELN and LIIA convened forty senior military and civilian experts from Russia and NATO countries to progress the discussion on NATO/Russia military-to-military dialogue.
Both Russia and NATO member states are increasing their military presence and activities in the Arctic, and threat perceptions on both sides are intensifying, write Katarina Kertysova and Dr. Alexander Graef. Cooperative aerial observation, which lies at the heart of the Open Skies Treaty, has a useful role to play in mitigating military security risks and addressing environmental challenges in the region.
Rear Admiral John Gower examines the deterrent issues arising from a future secession of Scotland and its likely desire for subsequent independent accession to the EU and NATO. A full and frank debate about the impact of Scottish secession on the UK’s nuclear deterrent is necessary to avoid significant negative implications for Euro-Atlantic security.