The culmination of the yearlong INF drama, beset with mutual accusations, now places Europeans under enormous pressure to address the ensuing security challenges.
Professor Götz Neuneck writes proposals for Europe to prevent the collapse of the INF Treaty, which he argues would not only be a sharp break from previous arms control policy but risks challenging the nuclear arms control framework in its entirety.
Despite the fact that no legal mechanism can block the US decision, there is still a window of opportunity to save the INF treaty.
There are no easy wins in the US-Russia relationship, but the Wilson Centre’s Matthew Rojansky identifies opportunities for engagement to avoid its total collapse.
At the ongoing NATO Brussels summit and the Trump-Putin meeting following right after, there will be one issue that can make all the difference between a success and failure: the ability to resolve the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty) crisis.
In diplomatic terms, the 2019 PrepCom was better than many expected, despite a failure to find consensus on many key issues, but what does this mean going forward to the 2020 Review Conference?
Ground-launched cruise missiles are not the main military issue, as their effect on strategic stability remains limited. Greater problems will arise as soon as Russia and the US start the testing, production and deployment of intermediate-range ballistic missiles.
Dr Heather Williams, Lecturer in the Defence Studies Department at King’s College London (KCL) and Amelia Morgan, Research Assistant at KCL’s Centre for Science and Security Studies (CSSS) examine how the United States and Russia could become more responsible nuclear actors and strengthen the global nuclear order at a time when it is most fragile.
ELN Policy Fellows Julia Berghofer and Dr Katarzyna Kubiak write on the German position on the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty.
In cooperation with the Heinrich Böll Foundation and the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), the European Leadership Network organised a workshop on “Managing the Collapse of the INF Treaty” with experts from all around Europe, United States and Kazakhstan.
Dr Katarzyna Kubiak and Julia Berghofer presented at the European INF Initiative Project Meeting which took place on 3rd May 2019 at the Odessa Center for Non-Proliferation and Disarmament. Participants discussed where European states can and cannot join forces in responding to the INF crisis and likely demise.
ELN Policy Fellow Katarzyna Kubiak talks to Deutsche Welle about the INF crisis.
ELN Policy Fellow Dr Katarzyna Kubiak published an article on European perspectives on the INF Treaty for Osteuropa, an interdisciplinary academic monthly on international affairs and one of the leading international journals in the field of research on Eastern Europe (in German).
The Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group address the risk in the lack of effective and reliable crisis management dialogue and provide a foundation for crisis management advocacy.