With European elections upcoming and the shape of the next Commission unknowable, this report is not an agenda for the years to come but lessons for the next Commission from developments in European defence over the last two years.
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Dr Prokhor Tebin, Russia-based independent military and security expert, argues that a high probability of war between Russia and NATO is not the key challenge in Russia-NATO relations, but the low probability of meaningful dispute resolutions for Russia in engaging with NATO as a whole.
Deploying NATO maritime assets, beyond a simple addition of firepower, would signal that Europe will not accept hostile actions in the Gulf, nor any hostage-taking of its energy markets.
Elisabeth Braw, ELN Senior Associate Fellow, criticizes reignited debate on German or “European” nuclear deterrent as a harmful distraction in the context of actual European security challenges
Independent expert Dmitry Stefanovich argues that the Helsinki Summit could herald the beginning of a new phase in US-Russia arms control. By analysing current bilateral disputes over the existing arms control treaties, New START and INF, Stefanovich proposes a number of recommendations to advance the current stalemate.
Last week’s Helsinki Summit has brought renewed focus to Russian actions in cyberspace. In a new report, ELN Research Associate Joss Meakins explores Russia’s conflicted approach to cyber deterrence and proposes new ways to create a more stable Russia-West cyber deterrence relationship.
The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is often alleged to be at risk of “crumbling” or "damaged beyond repair”. Kjølv Egeland, Fellow at the Norwegian Academy of International Law, argues that this fear-mongering is unfounded. The NPT is one of the most widely supported international agreements that exist today. The challenge facing its supporters is not damage-limitation or “protecting what we’ve got” but extending the disarmament norm.
On 27-28 June 2018, the European Leadership Network hosted a roundtable discussion in the UK House of Lords examining the political, security and economic conditions in the Western Balkans and how best to promote stability and democratic reform across the region. The meeting was co-chaired by Lord Browne of Ladyton and ELN member and former Albanian Defence Minister, Fatmir Mediu.
At the ongoing NATO Brussels summit and the Trump-Putin meeting following right after, there will be one issue that can make all the difference between a success and failure: the ability to resolve the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty) crisis.