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ELN publications feature authoritative research, high-quality analysis, diverse viewpoints and practical recommendations to address current foreign, defence, and security policy challenges.

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Commentary

Nuclear disarmament verification and the NPT: De-politicising the political

In our latest commentary from the ELN’s New European Voices on Existential Risk (NEVER) network, Kim Westerich-Fellner explores how focusing on technical issues such as nuclear arms verification, can be used as a means of sidestepping the political disputes between States Parties that have more often than not inhibited progress and cooperation within the structures of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).

9 January 2024 | Kim Westerich-Fellner
NPTGlobal SecurityArms ControlDefenceDeterrenceNEVERNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionWMDs
Policy brief

Pragmatic Steps to reinforce the NPT on the way towards the 2026 Review Conference

This policy brief outlines key issues as identified by ELN network members that will be at the centre of the 11th Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT) review cycle and offers actionable recommendations and pathways to diplomatic success. It also charts some of the different scenarios that NPT states parties will have to consider as they prepare for the 2026 NPT Review Conference.

11 December 2023
Global SecurityArms ControlNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsSecurity
Policy brief

Weathering the storm: A scenario-based approach to strengthening the NPT

At a moment where the risk of use of nuclear weapons remains dangerously elevated, the PrepComs leading up to the next NPT Review Conference present an opportunity for states parties to begin establishing and advancing an agenda to reduce nuclear risks. Using a scenario-based approach, this policy brief takes stock of current geopolitical dynamics and their implications for the long-term health of the NPT and its review process.

11 December 2023
Global SecurityArms ControlNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear Weapons
Report

Countering Russia’s hybrid threats in the Arctic

This report explores how hybrid threats manifest in the Arctic, areas that are susceptible to influence, potential targets, actors who wish to shape public opinions, as well as the objectives being pursued. Kertysova and Gricius examine the threat and vulnerability landscape in the Arctic and assesses four key trends that have been observed.

8 December 2023 | Katarina Kertysova and Gabriella Gricius
Euro-Atlantic SecurityArcticHybrid warfareRussiaRussia-West Relations
Policy brief

Resisting the risks of nuclear mission creep: UK deterrence and emerging strategic threats

In recent years the US and the UK have said they might deter threats arising from emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) with nuclear weapons. This policy shift signals an increased emphasis on nuclear deterrence and challenges the UK’s non-proliferation and disarmament commitments. Instead of aiming to deter the extreme use of EDTs with nuclear weapons, this policy brief argues that the UK and other nuclear weapons states should focus on developing their national resilience to mitigate threats.

8 December 2023 | Julia Berghofer
Global SecurityDeterrenceEmerging technologiesNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsUnited Kingdom
Commentary

Pros and cons: Options for security guarantees for Ukraine and their impact on Euro-Atlantic security

Tetiana Melnyk explores the viability of several security guarantees for Ukraine. A lasting resolution to the conflict would require a more systematic integration of Ukraine, and potentially other Eastern European states, into as many Western structures and organisations as possible, she writes.

7 December 2023 | Tetiana Melnyk
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDiplomacyEastern EuropeEUEuropeNATORussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraine
Commentary

No need to wait: Capability building and collective defence as security guarantees for Ukraine

Institutionalised and forward-looking security and defence cooperation during the war and interim period are critical security guarantees for Ukraine. Kateryna Anisova writes that the G7-EU-coalition-of-willing nexus can assure a comprehensive and mutually reinforcing approach for bolstering Ukraine’s capabilities and integrating it into the Euro-Atlantic security system before the war ends.

6 December 2023 | Kateryna Anisova
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDiplomacyEastern EuropeEUEuropeNATORussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraine
Commentary

To guarantee its security, the EU should arm Ukraine through a self-defence agreement

Current security guarantees for Ukraine range from unavailable to ineffective, writes Sascha Ostanina. She proposes a middle-ground solution to provide collective security for Ukraine through a binding self-defence agreement between the EU and Ukraine. Such an agreement would provide Ukraine with access to weapons and ammunition in the event of Russian aggression.

5 December 2023 | Sascha E. Ostanina
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDiplomacyEastern EuropeEUEuropeForeign policyNATORussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraine
Commentary

Post-war Ukraine: Budapest Memorandum 2.0 will not do

To avoid making post-war Ukraine’s public sentiments grow anti-Western or isolationist, Denys Karlovskyi writes that NATO must build a mutually beneficial framework of security cooperation with Ukraine’s government and maintain the current level of Ukrainian public support for NATO and the EU. One way of achieving this is for NATO member states to engage with the Ukrainian public in a way that is on par with the government.

4 December 2023 | Denys Karlovskyi
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDiplomacyEastern EuropeForeign policyNATORussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraine