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Commentary

Be careful what you wish for: Russia wants to share nuclear weapons with Belarus

The deployment of Russian tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus would increase nuclear risks and undermine key nonproliferation norms, but it would not alter the strategic balance in Europe. For Russia, sharing nuclear weapons with Belarus might well backfire politically. NATO countries should therefore resist the impulse to up the nuclear ante.

6 April 2023 | Katia Glod and Oliver Meier
Flickr, Kelly Michals
Commentary

Pillar I: Is disarmament doomed to stay the unfulfilled obligation of the NPT?

As progress on disarmament is stagnating, nuclear risk reduction may hold the key to keeping the pillar alive. Maren Vieluf writes that nuclear weapons states must step up and work tirelessly on risk reduction measures to fulfil their NPT commitments.

5 April 2023 | Maren Vieluf
Commentary

Designing a new Cold War of our preference: A catch-22 problem

Responding to a recent commentary by ELN Director Sir Adam Thomson, Yahueni Preiherman, co-chair of the YGLN, argues that using the language of a new “Cold War” is unhelpful in understanding current and evolving geopolitical tensions. Instead, he argues that the current Russia-West China-US tensions are less the result of an ideological clash and more reflect an adversarial security dilemna.

29 March 2023 | Yauheni Preiherman
Commentary

Network reflections: Xi’s visit to Moscow

After President XI’s visit to Moscow, we asked our network members for their thoughts on what this means for the war in Ukraine and global politics more broadly. Is China ramping up its support for Russia or acting as a calming influence on a potential future junior partner? Read the piece to see our members’ contributions in full.

Brussels, Belgium. 22nd June 2020. EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen participates in a media conference at the conclusion of an EU-China summit.
Commentary

US and China should rein in their rivalry

As Xi Jinping has made a much-publicised visit to Moscow this week, ELN members have been assessing the implications for European security, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the wider faultlines in global geopolitics. In this article, originally published in Danish by the Berlingske newspaper, Mogens Lykketoft provides context on the visit and argues the US and China need to rein in their rivalry in the interests of the rest of the world.

23 March 2023 | Mogens Lykketoft
Commentary

The war in Ukraine one year on: will Belarus join the battlefield?

A new Russian offensive this year raises the threat of Belarus playing a more active role in Russia’s war in Ukraine. Even though facts on the ground point to this being a less likely scenario, decision-makers should prepare for the unexpected. The situation could change at any moment, with the risk of the conflict widening.

28 February 2023 | Katia Glod
Commentary

Network reflections: What should we expect from the new German security strategy?

This month, Chancellor Shultz wrote, “Germans are intent on becoming the guarantor of European security that our allies expect us to be, a bridge builder within the European Union and an advocate for multilateral solutions to global problems”. But to do so requires a “new strategic culture” in Germany’s security strategy – What shifts should we expect in the new Security Strategy and where do the main challenges lie?