Martin Michelot, Deputy Director of the EUROPEUM Institute for European Policy in Prague, analyses the Visegrád group’s agenda for European defence, noting that the establishment of the EU’s Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO) offers an important role for small and mid-size member states in future PESCO initiatives. This presents a potential new opportunity for the Visegrád Four (V4).
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Stefano Stefanini, Italy’s former Ambassador to NATO, argues that the new Five Star-League Italian government will soon be faced with stark foreign policy choices. Although the government will likely remain anchored to NATO and will quickly learn it cannot ‘have it all’, the coalition could cause significant disruption to EU policy through populist stances on migration or Russia sanctions.
Sahil Shah argues that future is yet to be written for the Korean Peninsula and a positive outcome depends on the successful negotiation and implementation of tangible assurances and strong verification of disarmament pledges. Key to the “denuclearization” agenda is North Korea having a relationship with international organizations such as the CTBTO and IAEA.
RUSI’s Research Analyst Cristina Varriale argues that the UK has the potential to bridge the gap between member states and help to pave the way towards consensus at the next NPT Review Conference.
Axel Hellman and Denitsa Raynova look at the state of transatlantic relations and argue that European leaders should not distance themselves from the United States, but coordinate closely where possible while credibly demonstrating that they are willing to take on a greater share of responsibility for regional and international security.
The Non-Proliferation Treaty regime is in crisis: the heart of the problem is the failure of the nuclear-armed states parties to eliminate their nuclear weapons.
ELN Policy Fellow Axel Hellman and co-author Edoardo Saravalle argue that the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran deal will hurt U.S. credibility and reduce the future effectiveness of U.S. sanctions.
Shata Shetty, ELN Deputy Director and Denitsa Raynova, ELN Policy Fellow highlight that in the current deteriorating security environment there should be no complacency over the health and future of the NPT. The case must be re-made for the security benefits of this vital treaty. The current situation can be turned into an opportunity to revisit old assumptions, re-assess priorities and consider modest, but practical arrangements which can serve as bridge-builders between polarised communities.
ELN Senior Associate Fellow Nicholas Williams argues that, even if the EU’s military function in Bosnia has evolved from a deterrent to a reassurance role, the military presence could at some stage become an obstacle to progress towards EU membership.