Based on discussions with experts, officials and military figures in Moscow, European capitals and NATO Headquarters, this report identifies practical steps to stabilise the Russia-NATO confrontation.
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The culmination of the yearlong INF drama, beset with mutual accusations, now places Europeans under enormous pressure to address the ensuing security challenges. This must be handled deftly without provoking Moscow, whilst also attempting to rejuvenate an arms control regime that is seemingly moribund.
Following the release of the Trump administration's long-awaited Missile Defense Review, Dr Kubiak explores the role and scope of US missile defences and its impact on Russian and Chinese strategic retaliatory capabilities.
If handled well, US withdrawal from the INF Treaty can open up opportunities for better and more modern arms control arrangements.
At the ongoing NATO Brussels summit and the Trump-Putin meeting following right after, there will be one issue that can make all the difference between a success and failure: the ability to resolve the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty) crisis.
In this latest ELN Report, Katarzyna Kubiak examines the state of play and recommends measures to overcome the crisis over the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty.