To get strategic risk reduction right, the P5 will need to respond to NATO non-nuclear-weapon states interest in a structured and transparent conversation on concrete measures to lower the risk of nuclear use.
Over the last four years, Europeans have been facing the fundamental challenge of Russia and the US turning away from arms control. Oliver Meier considers how Europeans might turn existing, stopgap responses to this into a long-term strategy to strengthen multilateral arms control instruments.
As the recent Nuclear Posture Review indicates that the United States does not know what kind of global nuclear order it sees as feasible and desirable, Europeans need to lay out their own vision of a nuclear order.
According to the authors the INF Treaty brought about a “paradigm shift in the world’s most important bilateral security relationship” and “should not be abandoned lightly”. Formal dialogue on compliance should start by addressing “grey area” weapons.