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Report

Russia and NATO: How to overcome deterrence instability?

The current Russia-NATO deterrence relationship is unstable, and dangerously so. The authors argue that the interplay between the deterrence postures operated by both Russia and NATO has not been sufficiently appreciated during their development – deterrence cannot be effective if your target does not understand your actions.

Euro-Atlantic Security|Deterrence|Military Doctrine|NATO|Nuclear Weapons|Russia
Commentary

Inherent Instability: Cyber and Space as Deterrence Spoilers

Thomas Frear highlights the poorly understood escalatory potential of modern cyber operations; arguing that the continued integration of the cyber domain with the conventional and nuclear domains has substantially increased the possibility of miscalculation and unintended escalation.

14 March 2018 | Thomas Frear
Euro-Atlantic Security|Global Security|Cyber|Deterrence|NATO|Risk Reduction|Russia|Russia-West Relations
Policy brief

Open Skies: A Status Neutral Approach for Georgia and Russia

ELN Research Fellow Thomas Frear argues that a resumption of Open Skies Treaty flights between Russia and Georgia is in the best interest of both, outlining a status-neutral method to overcome previously irreconcilable national positions.

29 August 2017 | Thomas Frear
Euro-Atlantic Security|Arms Control|Conventional Arms Control|CSBMs|Georgia|OSCE|Risk Reduction|Russia|Russia-West Relations
Commentary

Russia – West Incidents on the Rise

As Russia – West military encounters intensify, the ELN reiterates its call for the regulations that govern such encounters to be updated and expanded to avoid escalation.

26 June 2017 | Thomas Frear
Euro-Atlantic Security|Arms Control|Military Doctrine|NATO|Risk Reduction|Russia|Russia-West Relations