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Commentary

The war in Ukraine one year on: will Belarus join the battlefield?

A new Russian offensive this year raises the threat of Belarus playing a more active role in Russia’s war in Ukraine. Even though facts on the ground point to this being a less likely scenario, decision-makers should prepare for the unexpected. The situation could change at any moment, with the risk of the conflict widening.

28 February 2023 | Katia Glod
Commentary

Young leaders’ perspectives on Europe’s security crisis

The ELN’s Younger Generation Leaders Network on Euro-Atlantic Security (YGLN) has intensified its convening since the Russian invasion of Ukraine and has held weekly meetings, every one of which has been attended by Ukrainians, Russians, other Europeans and Americans alike. Through these meetings, all parties involved have engaged in fruitful and frank dialogue and have retained their commitment to engagement even in the toughest of times. Below, we discuss some key takeaways from our first three months of meetings.

30 May 2022 | Daniel Shapiro
Policy brief

Can Confidence and Security Building Measures (CSBMs) help manage European crises?

Dr Ian Anthony examines confidence and security building measures (CSBMs) in Central and Eastern Europe and notes steps made by countries such as Belarus, Poland, and Ukraine to create and enhance bilateral discussion formats. This policy brief analyses these measures and examines their applicability to the current conflict in Ukraine and the European security order that will follow the war.

10 May 2022 | Ian Anthony
Commentary

A Biden presidency and pro-democracy movements in the post-Soviet space: Recommendations for Europe

As pro-democracy movements proliferate throughout the post-Soviet space, Europe and the US have had noticeably muted reactions. But should Joe Biden become America’s next president this week, he will likely take a more actively pro-democracy position in the region. The EU should start planning for this now.

2 November 2020 | Nikita Gryazin and Daniel Shapiro