On 16-17 July 2018, the European Leadership Network together with the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) co-hosted a seminar in Moscow as part of a joint project to identify specific, realistic and politically feasible steps that Russia, NATO and NATO members can take to move towards a more stable deterrence relationship.
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The current Russia-NATO deterrence relationship is unstable, and dangerously so. The authors argue that the interplay between the deterrence postures operated by both Russia and NATO has not been sufficiently appreciated during their development – deterrence cannot be effective if your target does not understand your actions.
What lessons to draw from the latest Russian combined strategic exercise? For Michael Kofman, Senior Research Scientist at CNA and Fellow at the Wilson Center, Moscow signalled it can maintain coercive credibility in a potential conflict with NATO.
As Russia – West military encounters intensify, the ELN reiterates its call for the regulations that govern such encounters to be updated and expanded to avoid escalation.
In the first of a new ELN Issue Brief series on arms control, Dr Alexey Arbatov examines the evolving policies of Russia and NATO on the first use of nuclear weapons. Dr Arbatov’s brief goes beyond specific doctrinal points of concern, such as the concept of ‘escalating to de-escalate’ (the limited first use of nuclear weapons in […]
Carlo Trezza, outgoing Chairman of the Missile Technology Control Regime, considers the benefits of the US administration adopting a No First Use nuclear policy.