In the past, concerns about a nuclear attack were mainly in regard to the leaders of rogue states acquiring nuclear weapons. The war in Ukraine has shifted this threat to the leader of a superpower waging a war with thousands of known nuclear weapons on hair-trigger alert. Tarja Cronberg explores the ways in which control over nuclear weapons can be taken out of the hands of world leaders, and how to mitigate the risk of a nuclear war triggered by the human error of powerful individuals.
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Since late 2016 when ‘Global Britain’ was first mentioned, the UK has been defining its post-Brexit foreign policy framework, aims and ambitions. Nikita Gryazin argues that ‘the Churchill Factor’ plays an important role in Boris Johnson’s ‘Global Britain’ narrative.
Following the public release of previously classified Russia documents on nuclear deterrence, Dmitry Stefanovich explores the growing concerns over cyber threats and the potential opportunities for the P5.
On 16-17 July 2018, the European Leadership Network together with the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) co-hosted a seminar in Moscow as part of a joint project to identify specific, realistic and politically feasible steps that Russia, NATO and NATO members can take to move towards a more stable deterrence relationship.
The current Russia-NATO deterrence relationship is unstable, and dangerously so. The authors argue that the interplay between the deterrence postures operated by both Russia and NATO has not been sufficiently appreciated during their development – deterrence cannot be effective if your target does not understand your actions.
What lessons to draw from the latest Russian combined strategic exercise? For Michael Kofman, Senior Research Scientist at CNA and Fellow at the Wilson Center, Moscow signalled it can maintain coercive credibility in a potential conflict with NATO.