This report explores how hybrid threats manifest in the Arctic, areas that are susceptible to influence, potential targets, actors who wish to shape public opinions, as well as the objectives being pursued. Kertysova and Gricius examine the threat and vulnerability landscape in the Arctic and assesses four key trends that have been observed.
Important questions remain about future Arctic regional cooperation following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Next month, Norway will take over the chairmanship of the Arctic Council from Russia and diplomatic efforts are already underway to ensure the transfer goes as smoothly as possible. Gabriella Gricius explores three possible scenarios of what this Arctic Council could look like.
The European Parliament’s latest Draft Report on the Arctic proposes taking a middle road that acknowledges geopolitical competitive realities while also opening a pathway for cooperation. Gabriella Gricius writes that prioritising cooperation on addressing transnational threats will mean the Arctic environment and relations between Russia and the West will be better off.
Both Russia and NATO member states are increasing their military presence and activities in the Arctic, and threat perceptions on both sides are intensifying, write Katarina Kertysova and Dr. Alexander Graef. Cooperative aerial observation, which lies at the heart of the Open Skies Treaty, has a useful role to play in mitigating military security risks and addressing environmental challenges in the region.
ELN Policy Fellow Katarina Kertysova spoke to VOA's Henry Ridgwell about the Arctic Council Ministerial, Russia's climate strategy, and the militarisation of the Arctic, which continues to undermine regional cooperation on areas of mutual interest. The article can be found here.
ELN Policy Fellow Katarina Kertysova recently wrote about the prospects for US-Russia climate engagement under Moscow’s chairing of the Arctic Council for Russia Matters project. She argued that the military buildup in the region and zero-sum thinking will continue to put regional cooperation...