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Commentary

Is the bridge to peace in Ukraine too far? Principles for a future peace plan

Former ambassadors to NATO, Ahmet Üzümcü and Fatih Ceylan, look ahead at what a potential peace deal in Ukraine could look like. They write that neither mutual accusations nor wishful thinking can be taken as a guide to chart the future of broader European security. Instead, the focus should be on exploring peace by putting together potential elements of an enduring and sustainable deal that would ultimately serve the interests of global security.

9 April 2024 | Ahmet Üzümcü and Mehmet Fatih Ceylan
Euro-Atlantic SecurityEUNATORussiaRussia-West RelationsSecurityUkraineELN
Report

Scenario building workshop report: “Europe after the war”

This report comes off the back of a two-day scenario-building workshop convened in October by the European Leadership Network and the Hanns Seidel Foundation in Istanbul. A diverse group of experts from Ukraine, Russia, and wider Europe gathered to explore the implications of several different outcomes of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Europe. Read the full report to view the scenarios, participants’ comments, and policy recommendations for European leaders.

14 February 2024
Russia-West relationsBalticsBelarusBlack SeaEastern EuropeEUEuropeNATONuclear WeaponsRussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraineContact Group
Commentary

Pros and cons: Options for security guarantees for Ukraine and their impact on Euro-Atlantic security

Tetiana Melnyk explores the viability of several security guarantees for Ukraine. A lasting resolution to the conflict would require a more systematic integration of Ukraine, and potentially other Eastern European states, into as many Western structures and organisations as possible, she writes.

7 December 2023 | Tetiana Melnyk
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDiplomacyEastern EuropeEUEuropeNATORussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraineYGLN
Commentary

No need to wait: Capability building and collective defence as security guarantees for Ukraine

Institutionalised and forward-looking security and defence cooperation during the war and interim period are critical security guarantees for Ukraine. Kateryna Anisova writes that the G7-EU-coalition-of-willing nexus can assure a comprehensive and mutually reinforcing approach for bolstering Ukraine’s capabilities and integrating it into the Euro-Atlantic security system before the war ends.

6 December 2023 | Kateryna Anisova
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDiplomacyEastern EuropeEUEuropeNATORussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraineYGLN
Commentary

To guarantee its security, the EU should arm Ukraine through a self-defence agreement

Current security guarantees for Ukraine range from unavailable to ineffective, writes Sascha Ostanina. She proposes a middle-ground solution to provide collective security for Ukraine through a binding self-defence agreement between the EU and Ukraine. Such an agreement would provide Ukraine with access to weapons and ammunition in the event of Russian aggression.

5 December 2023 | Sascha E. Ostanina
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDiplomacyEastern EuropeEUEuropeForeign policyNATORussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraineYGLN
Commentary

Nagorno-Karabakh: Violence amid mediation

Neither Russian peacekeepers nor EU mediation have prevented Azerbaijan from violently retaking Nagorno-Karabakh. The ELN’s Policy & Impact Director Jane Kinninmont analyses the geopolitical realignments underlying the offensive which has caused tens of thousands of ethnic Armenians to flee, and suggests means to avoid further conflict in the South Caucasus.

27 September 2023 | Jane Kinninmont
European DefenceArmeniaDiplomacyEUEuropeForeign policyRussiaRussia-West RelationsSecurityTurkeyUnited NationsUnited StatesELN