Carrying out a “nuclear warning” – a non-repeatable strike intended to restore deterrence in case an adversary miscalculates – means the failure of deterrence. The very real consequence is escalation to a nuclear exchange.
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The state of nuclear normalcy and perceived safety and security states are working so hard to uphold is far more fragile than they are willing to admit.
Accusations about Russian and Chinese nuclear testing in the US Government’s 2020 Compliance Report forces into the open issues that have been simmering for a long time.
Last month, US Ambassador to Poland suggested relocating US nuclear weapons based in Germany to Poland. Is this likely to happen and what implications could it have?