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Page 8 of 34
Commentary

The one-person monopoly of nuclear launches

In the past, concerns about a nuclear attack were mainly in regard to the leaders of rogue states acquiring nuclear weapons. The war in Ukraine has shifted this threat to the leader of a superpower waging a war with thousands of known nuclear weapons on hair-trigger alert. Tarja Cronberg explores the ways in which control over nuclear weapons can be taken out of the hands of world leaders, and how to mitigate the risk of a nuclear war triggered by the human error of powerful individuals.

11 January 2023 | Tarja Cronberg
Global SecurityArms ControlDeterrenceMilitary DoctrineNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionWMDsELN
Policy brief

Workshop report: Getting the JCPOA through 2022 and the US and Europe effectively engaged with Iran

In October, the ELN and Hanns Seidel Foundation partnered on a track 1.5 meeting in London which brought together a range of European and Iranian participants both to assess how the JCPOA could still be revived and to consider alternative scenarios in more detail. The ELN’s Policy and Impact Director, Jane Kinninmont, captures the key highlights from the meeting.

14 December 2022 | Jane Kinninmont
Global SecurityIranJCPOAMiddle EastNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsIran
Report

Emerging and disruptive technologies, nuclear risk, and strategic stability: Chinese literature review

With emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) increasingly becoming a new field of military competition among great powers, serious questions have been raised about whether they will fundamentally change the ways modern warfare will be conducted, in particular implications for nuclear deterrence. Fei Su and Dr Jingdong Yuan analyse Chinese academic and professional publications to explore new ways forward for mitigating the risks posed by EDTs.

13 December 2022 | Fei Su and Dr Jingdong Yuan
Global SecurityChinaCyberEmerging technologiesNuclear SecuritySecurity
Commentary

The 60th anniversary of the Cuban Missile Crisis: What lessons does the crisis teach for today?

If there is one parallel between the Cuban Missile Crisis and the war in Ukraine, Marion Messmer writes, it’s that decision-making is influenced by myths, enemy images, and beliefs. The fog of war makes miscommunication, misperception, and miscalculation that much more likely, in turn increasing the risk that further escalation might take place. Whether the war in Ukraine will be able to provide a similar motivation for arms control efforts as the Cuban Missile Crisis did will depend on how exactly it will end.

28 October 2022 | Marion Messmer
Global SecurityNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionRussia-West RelationsUkraine
Commentary

Saving the non-proliferation regime today for the benefit of tomorrow’s international security order

The 10th NPT Review Conference ended last week without an agreement on a consensus outcome document. At a RevCon side event to launch a new ELN project, network member Adam Kobieracki remarked that “diplomatic success should not be measured by the number and volume of documents agreed and adopted” but instead should focus on concrete steps that need to be taken to reinforce and implement the NPT system.

31 August 2022 | Adam Kobieracki (1957-2024)
Global SecurityNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsELN