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Commentary

The NPT needs a common understanding of “nuclear threats”: Questions and tasks for the 11th NPT Review Cycle

YGLN members Maren Vieluf and Ananya Agustin Malhotra argue that NPT states need to start talking about whether or not “defensive” and “offensive” nuclear threats can be distinguished. If NPT states can find agreement on this matter, it could bridge the gap between states condemning any and all nuclear threats under any circumstances and those states that stand firmly behind “defensive” nuclear threats and allow for further progress to be made in the 11th NPT Review Cycle.

15 February 2024 | Maren Vieluf and Ananya Agustin Malhotra
NPTGlobal SecurityMultilateral arms control, disarmament and non-proliferationArms ControlCTBTMissilesNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionWMDsYGLN
Report

Scenario building workshop report: “Europe after the war”

This report comes off the back of a two-day scenario-building workshop convened in October by the European Leadership Network and the Hanns Seidel Foundation in Istanbul. A diverse group of experts from Ukraine, Russia, and wider Europe gathered to explore the implications of several different outcomes of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Europe. Read the full report to view the scenarios, participants’ comments, and policy recommendations for European leaders.

14 February 2024
Russia-West relationsBalticsBelarusBlack SeaEastern EuropeEUEuropeNATONuclear WeaponsRussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraineContact Group
Commentary

Why and how the NPT must prepare for an arms control interregnum in the post-New START era

The defining challenge of the arms control interregnum is to ensure the NPT survives Russian brinkmanship and Chinese ambivalence, writes Maximilian Hoell. He argues that supporters of the NPT must face a simple choice: join forces to uphold the treaty to the extent possible and prevent its erosion or risk the treaty’s collapse. He argues that Western leadership is essential for safeguarding the NPT in the new security environment.

8 February 2024 | Maximilian Hoell
NPTGlobal SecurityArms ControlChinaDeterrenceNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRussiaRussia-West RelationsUnited StatesWMDsYGLN
Policy brief

Strategic stability on the Korean Peninsula: Dual crisis and risk reduction measures

North and South Korea are locked in a competitive cycle marked by efforts to balance each other’s increasing military capabilities. Jina Kim explores arms control and crisis stability on the Korean Peninsula and its impact on North Korea’s strategic calculations. The paper offers policy recommendations for South Korean policymakers to address these challenges.

7 February 2024 | Dr Jina Kim
Global SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionNorth KoreaNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionSecurityAPLN
Policy brief

Balancing deterrence with assurances: Policy coordination between security partners in the Asia-Pacific

This ELN and APLN policy brief explores the challenges facing Australia, Japan, South Korea, and the UK in their security strategies towards China and North Korea. The paper argues that these security partners must balance deterrence strategies with providing assurances to adversaries.

31 January 2024 | Joel Petersson Ivre, Oliver Meier, Dr Tanya Ogilvie-White and Rishi Paul
Global SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaDPRKNorth KoreaNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionSecurityUnited Kingdom
Commentary

Ok, Doomer! The NEVER Podcast – Nuclear War: What is it good for?

Listen to the second episode of the NEVER podcast – Ok, Doomer! In this episode, we explore nuclear war, the first man-made existential risk. Featuring an introduction to the topic, disarmament versus deterrence, how governments have dealt with issues such as proliferation, and how they should respond to them in future.

23 January 2024 | Jane Kinninmont, Edan Simpson, Rishi Paul, Oliver Meier, Olamide Samuel, Valeriia Hesse and Sahil Shah
Global SecurityDeterrenceEmerging technologiesNEVERNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear WeaponsPodcastsRisk ReductionWMDsNEVER