Rapid technological change and a return to nuclear great-power competition suggest that the contours and central dynamics of our nuclear world are in flux. Andrew Futter writes that this shift requires a frank debate about the role of UK nuclear weapons and where they fit in the future of UK security policy.
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Nuclear decision-making, complexity and emerging and disruptive technologies: A comprehensive assessment
This report looks at how the complex interactions of emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) could impact nuclear decision-making, particularly in an escalating regional conventional conflict. In some scenarios, EDTs could exacerbate nuclear escalation, while in other circumstances they could encourage nuclear restraint.
Members of the ELN Network share their views on deterrence and diplomacy
The Iran Project and the ELN release the findings of a major three-year study on missiles in the Middle East. They find that fresh thinking is needed to reduce the risks attributed to the growing proliferation and development of these weapons.
Reflections on P5 risk reduction: milestones to date and recommendations for the eleventh NPT review cycle
The recent P5 affirmation that “a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought” as well as the incorporation of strategic risk reduction into the nuclear doctrines and dialogues working group are impactful and are welcome first measures. The P5 must now build on this momentum to discuss a substantive programme of work which must will lead to the implementation of concrete risk reduction measures within the eleventh review cycle.
This joint ELN – FRS working paper calls on the P5 to establish a sustained, open-ended and senior dialogue process on strategic risk reduction in the form of a working group.