In October, the ELN and Hanns Seidel Foundation partnered on a track 1.5 meeting in London which brought together a range of European and Iranian participants both to assess how the JCPOA could still be revived and to consider alternative scenarios in more detail. The ELN’s Policy and Impact Director, Jane Kinninmont, captures the key highlights from the meeting.
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Emerging and disruptive technologies, nuclear risk, and strategic stability: Chinese literature review
With emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) increasingly becoming a new field of military competition among great powers, serious questions have been raised about whether they will fundamentally change the ways modern warfare will be conducted, in particular implications for nuclear deterrence. Fei Su and Dr Jingdong Yuan analyse Chinese academic and professional publications to explore new ways forward for mitigating the risks posed by EDTs.
Dr Alexander Graef and Tim Thies look at what kind of arms control might be feasible in the context of evolving multipolar strategic rivalry by drawing on lessons from the past. They argue that the US and NATO allies should pursue limited yet necessary arms control measures that enhance their security.
ELN Senior Associate Fellow Ilana Bet-El looks at the problems inherent both in the Dayton Agreement and its implementation – and offers recommendations for how they could be avoided in a future post-war agreement in Ukraine.
Dr Ian Anthony examines confidence and security building measures (CSBMs) in Central and Eastern Europe and notes steps made by countries such as Belarus, Poland, and Ukraine to create and enhance bilateral discussion formats. This policy brief analyses these measures and examines their applicability to the current conflict in Ukraine and the European security order that will follow the war.
Nuclear decision-making, complexity and emerging and disruptive technologies: A comprehensive assessment
This report looks at how the complex interactions of emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) could impact nuclear decision-making, particularly in an escalating regional conventional conflict. In some scenarios, EDTs could exacerbate nuclear escalation, while in other circumstances they could encourage nuclear restraint.
The Iran Project and the ELN release the findings of a major three-year study on missiles in the Middle East. They find that fresh thinking is needed to reduce the risks attributed to the growing proliferation and development of these weapons.
Emerging & disruptive technologies and nuclear weapons decision making: risks, challenges and mitigation strategies
Bringing together a new generation of experts, this report explores the changing landscape of the nuclear policy field and assesses risks, challenges, and mitigation strategies for nuclear weapon decision making under technological complexity.
On the eve of the seventh round of negotiations on the restoration of the JCPOA – or Iran nuclear deal – the ELN and the Bourse & Bazaar Foundation publish a set of creative ideas to help bridge gaps related to guarantees and sanctions relief.