In this latest ELN Report, Katarzyna Kubiak examines the state of play and recommends measures to overcome the crisis over the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty.
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On 22 and 23 March 2018 the Toda Peace Institute, the Asia Pacific Leadership Network (APLN) and the European Leadership Network (ELN), in partnership with the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI), hosted an expert workshop, ‘Bridging the Gap: Harmonizing the NPT and the Nuclear Ban Treaty’, in Seoul, Republic of Korea. The discussion covered a wide range […]
The current Russia-NATO deterrence relationship is unstable, and dangerously so. The authors argue that the interplay between the deterrence postures operated by both Russia and NATO has not been sufficiently appreciated during their development – deterrence cannot be effective if your target does not understand your actions.
Continuing our series of guest commentaries on the ban treaty, Dr. Brad Roberts, Director of the Center for Global Security Research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, argues that the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons is essentially a protest vote which may end up harming much more than it helps.
In the wake of the publication of US Nuclear Posture Review, Tiphaine de Champchesnel compares contemporary French and US approaches to nuclear deterrence, highlighting their broad convergence but noting also some differences.
Thomas Frear highlights the poorly understood escalatory potential of modern cyber operations; arguing that the continued integration of the cyber domain with the conventional and nuclear domains has substantially increased the possibility of miscalculation and unintended escalation.