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Commentary

Out of the shadow war? Iranian narratives of the confrontation with Israel

Following Iran’s direct attack on Israel on 13th April, Hemidreaza Azizi examines both the official and unofficial discourse in Iran in recent days. He writes that most political experts and analysts in Iran seem to agree that Iran’s goal has been to restore deterrence and not to enter into war. However, concerns about the outbreak of an unintended war and its destructive consequences appear to be more pronounced among experts than among official figures.

19 April 2024 | Dr Hamidreza Azizi
IranGlobal SecurityDeterrenceIranMiddle EastNuclear WeaponsSecurityIran
Commentary

The Women Leader’s Podcast: The Middle East – Endless escalation

Ilana Bet-El, Senior Associate Fellow at the ELN, speaks with Jodi Rudoren, Editor-in-Chief of the Forward and former New York Times Bureau Chief in Israel, and Dr Roxane Farmanfarmaian of Cambridge University, Senior Associate Fellow at the ELN, and an expert on Iran and the Middle East. They discuss their own experiences of 7 October, their reactions to the war in Gaza, the implications for the media, geopolitics and the region, and the escalatory nature of the war following Iran’s increased role in the conflict over the past week.

19 April 2024 | Ilana Bet-El, Florence Ferrando and Roxane Farmanfarmaian
IranGlobal SecurityDefenceDiplomacyForeign policyIranMiddle EastPodcastsSecurityTerrorismIran
Commentary

Why the Ukraine and Gaza wars mean Russia could now support a nuclear-armed Iran

Meir Javedanfar writes that Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and the Israel-Gaza war mean that a nuclear Iran may no longer be viewed as a threat by the Russian leadership. Javedanfar argues that a nuclear Iran could boost Russia’s leverage in the Middle East and divert attention from its war in Europe.

3 April 2024 | Meir Javedanfar
Global SecurityIranJCPOAMiddle EastNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRussia
Commentary

After Hamas: Rationales and dilemmas for US-Saudi nuclear agreement persist

Mark Hibbs writes that while the conflict between Hamas and Israel has complicated the situation, the rationale behind the US push for Israeli-Saudi normalisation and continued US-Saudi nuclear negotiations remain strong. The Hamas attack is a reminder of the potential for disruption that a nuclear-armed Iran could have on the region.

19 October 2023 | Mark Hibbs
Global SecurityDeterrenceDiplomacyEnergyForeign policyIranMiddle EastNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear Weapons
Commentary

The Iran protests one year on: Time for a feminist EU response

One year on from the death of Jina Mahsa Amini at the hands of Iran’s morality police, which sparked unprecedented protests across the country in support of women’s rights, Dr. Azadeh Zamirirad calls for European decision-makers to take a feminist approach to their foreign policy with Iran and in their response to Iran’s feminist uprising.

15 September 2023 | Azadeh Zamirirad
Global SecurityDiplomacyEuropeForeign policyIranMiddle EastSanctionsIran
Report

Workshop report: Track 1.5 Dialogue on Iran, the JCPOA and future scenarios

In May 2023 , the ELN and Rockefeller Brothers Fund (RBF) held a track 1.5 meeting in London featuring a range of European, American, Asian and Iranian experts to assess three possible scenarios that could come about should attempts to revive the JCPOA fail: resumption of nuclear negotiations, building regional solutions, and regional conflict. ELN Senior Associate Fellow Roxane Farmanfarmaian captures the core findings in this report.

28 June 2023 | Roxane Farmanfarmaian
Global SecurityDiplomacyIranJCPOAMiddle EastNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionIran