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Commentary

The Ukraine Crisis and the Russian Economy

The combination of Western sanctions and an oil price collapse has inflicted a great deal of pain on the Russian economy but the latest opinion polls still show 85 per cent support for Putin and there is debate over just how much of an economic collapse Russian may be facing. In this context,...

13 February 2015 | Ben Aris and Chris Weafer
Euro-Atlantic Security|Economy|Energy|Russia|Sanctions|Ukraine
Commentary

Will the crisis be a wake-up call to reform the Russian economy?

Chris Weafer observes that the uniformly negative analysis of Russia’s economic prospects in 2015 obscure a crucial aspect, that the Russian economy may be forced into reforms that will improve growth in the long-term.

21 January 2015 | Chris Weafer
Euro-Atlantic Security|Economy|Energy|Russia|Sanctions
Commentary

Wither Russia: collapse and default on the cards for 2015?

Ben Aris argues that whilst the economic outlook for Russia in 2015 is bad, it is not disastrous. Russia still has the means to manage the current combination of a falling rouble and low oil prices, but requires major reforms if it is to avoid long-term stagnation.

19 January 2015 | Ben Aris
Euro-Atlantic Security|Economy|Energy|Russia|Russia-West Relations|Sanctions