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Report

Workshop report: Track 1.5 Dialogue on Iran, the JCPOA and future scenarios

In May 2023 , the ELN and Rockefeller Brothers Fund (RBF) held a track 1.5 meeting in London featuring a range of European, American, Asian and Iranian experts to assess three possible scenarios that could come about should attempts to revive the JCPOA fail: resumption of nuclear negotiations, building regional solutions, and regional conflict. ELN Senior Associate Fellow Roxane Farmanfarmaian captures the core findings in this report.

28 June 2023 | Roxane Farmanfarmaian
Global SecurityDiplomacyIranJCPOAMiddle EastNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk Reduction
Report

Strategic risks in the Asia-Pacific: Examining Australian, British, Japanese, and South Korean perspectives

A new report from the ELN and the APLN sets out how the UK can strengthen security cooperation in the Asia-Pacific region with South Korea, Japan, and Australia, amidst a deteriorating security environment that threatens to undermine the existing nuclear order.

22 June 2023 | , Maximilian Hoell, Joel Petersson Ivre and Alice Saltini
Global SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaDPRKNorth KoreaNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionSecurityUnited Kingdom
Policy brief

Changing perceptions of strategic risks in the Asia-Pacific – the Australian, Japanese, and South Korean perspectives

The European Leadership Network (ELN) with the Asia-Pacific Leadership Network (APLN) have worked together on three reports that analyse the changing nature of the strategic risks landscape in the Asia-Pacific. These reports look into how these changes affect the non-proliferation regime, and come from the Australian, Japanese and South Korean perspectives. Full report details within the article.

9 March 2023 | Dr Michael Cohen, Nobumasa Akiyama and Lee Sang Hyun
Global SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaDPRKMilitary DoctrineNorth Korea
Policy brief

Workshop report: Getting the JCPOA through 2022 and the US and Europe effectively engaged with Iran

In October, the ELN and Hanns Seidel Foundation partnered on a track 1.5 meeting in London which brought together a range of European and Iranian participants both to assess how the JCPOA could still be revived and to consider alternative scenarios in more detail. The ELN’s Policy and Impact Director, Jane Kinninmont, captures the key highlights from the meeting.

14 December 2022 | Jane Kinninmont
Global SecurityIranJCPOAMiddle EastNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear Weapons
Report

Emerging and disruptive technologies, nuclear risk, and strategic stability: Chinese literature review

With emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) increasingly becoming a new field of military competition among great powers, serious questions have been raised about whether they will fundamentally change the ways modern warfare will be conducted, in particular implications for nuclear deterrence. Fei Su and Dr Jingdong Yuan analyse Chinese academic and professional publications to explore new ways forward for mitigating the risks posed by EDTs.

13 December 2022 | Fei Su and Dr Jingdong Yuan
Global SecurityChinaCyberEmerging technologiesNuclear SecuritySecurity
Policy brief

Lessons from the past: Arms control in uncooperative times

Dr Alexander Graef and Tim Thies look at what kind of arms control might be feasible in the context of evolving multipolar strategic rivalry by drawing on lessons from the past. They argue that the US and NATO allies should pursue limited yet necessary arms control measures that enhance their security.

7 December 2022 | Alexander Graef and Tim Thies
Global SecurityArms ControlNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlRussia-West Relations
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Policy brief

Can Confidence and Security Building Measures (CSBMs) help manage European crises?

Dr Ian Anthony examines confidence and security building measures (CSBMs) in Central and Eastern Europe and notes steps made by countries such as Belarus, Poland, and Ukraine to create and enhance bilateral discussion formats. This policy brief analyses these measures and examines their applicability to the current conflict in Ukraine and the European security order that will follow the war.

10 May 2022 | Ian Anthony
European DefenceBelarusCentral EuropeCSBMsEastern EuropePolandUkraine
Report

Nuclear decision-making, complexity and emerging and disruptive technologies: A comprehensive assessment

This report looks at how the complex interactions of emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) could impact nuclear decision-making, particularly in an escalating regional conventional conflict. In some scenarios, EDTs could exacerbate nuclear escalation, while in other circumstances they could encourage nuclear restraint.

14 February 2022 | Dr Jacek Durkalec, Dr Anna Péczeli and Dr Brian Radzinsky
Global SecurityEmerging technologiesNuclear SecurityNuclear Weapons