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Policy brief

Safeguarding the Iran Nuclear Deal: A Blueprint for Europe

As the future of the Iran nuclear deal looks increasingly uncertain, ELN Policy Fellow Axel Hellman argues that European policymakers should leverage the value of the transatlantic partnership to influence US decision-making and demonstrate Europe’s commitment to the deal while laying the technical and political groundwork to challenge the snapback of US sanctions.

6 April 2018 | Axel Hellman
Global Security|Diplomacy|Economy|EU|Europe|Foreign policy|Iran|JCPOA|Middle East|Nuclear Arms Control|Transatlantic relations|United States
Policy brief

Ban the Bomb? Or Bomb the Ban?

Continuing our series of guest commentaries on the ban treaty, Dr. Brad Roberts, Director of the Center for Global Security Research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, argues that the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons is essentially a protest vote which may end up harming much more than it helps.

22 March 2018 | Brad Roberts
Global Security|Arms Control|Deterrence|Nuclear Arms Control|nuclear ban treaty|Nuclear Disarmament|Nuclear Weapons
Policy brief

The US, Europe and the Iran nuclear deal: is there a sweet spot?

Will President Trump torpedo the JCPOA or can European negotiators find a way through? Sir Simon Gass sets out a possible diplomatic sweet spot for the current US-Europe negotiations that might meet US concerns, yet keep Iran and the other parties to the deal on board.

9 March 2018 | Simon Gass
Global Security|Europe|Iran|JCPOA|Nuclear Arms Control|Nuclear Weapons|Security|United States
Report

Envisioning a Russia-NATO Conflict: Implications for Deterrence Stability

This ELN report investigates how a Russia-NATO conflict could break out, unfold and be terminated. Based on this analysis, the report makes a set of recommendations to increase military stability and reduce the threat of inadvertent escalation.

14 February 2018 | Lukasz Kulesa
Euro-Atlantic Security|Deterrence|NATO|Risk Reduction|Russia|Russia-West Relations
Policy brief

Proud and Prejudiced: The risk of stereotypes in Russia-West relations

Joseph Dobbs argues that policy-makers in Russia-West relations must be more aware of the negative impact stereotyping has on decision making. This paper examines three stereotypes in detail: Vladimir Putin the master tactician, the expansionist opponent and mutual weakness.

29 January 2018 | Joseph Dobbs
Euro-Atlantic Security|Diplomacy|Europe|Foreign policy|NATO|Russia|Russia-West Relations|United States
Policy brief

Mission Impossible: pursuing arms control with Putin’s Russia

Dr. Stephen Blank, senior fellow at the American Foreign Policy Council, argues that the prerequisite for pursuing any new arms control talks with Russia needs to be a fundamental change in Moscow’s foreign and security policy.

19 January 2018 | Stephen Blank
Euro-Atlantic Security|Arms Control|Russia|Russia-West Relations
Report

Breakthrough or Breakpoint? Global Perspectives on the Nuclear Ban Treaty

To examine the implications of the nuclear ban treaty, the ELN has brought together contributions from a distinguished group of nuclear policy and arms control experts who present and analyse national and institutional attitudes towards the ban treaty and assess whether these are likely to change over time. The aim is to encourage a better understanding of the underlying motives and objectives of the treaty as well as the rationale of those who still remain cautious or hostile.

8 December 2017 | Shatabhisha Shetty and Denitsa Raynova
Global Security|Deterrence|NATO|NPT|nuclear ban treaty|Nuclear Disarmament|Nuclear Security|Nuclear Weapons