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Commentary

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine continues to threaten the nuclear order’s grand bargain

On the second anniversary of Putin’s war in Ukraine, Olamide Samuel writes that the invasion has upset the fragile balance of obligations in the NPT’s bargain by dramatically increasing the perceived salience of nuclear weapons and reigniting motivations for proliferation. In response, nuclear weapon states choosing to reinforce their extended deterrence commitments inadvertently devalues the wider framework of security assurances granted to non-nuclear weapon states and the perceived value of the NPT’s grand bargain.

27 February 2024 | Olamide Samuel
NPTGlobal SecurityMultilateral arms control, disarmament and non-proliferationNPTNPTProjectNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRussiaUkraine
Policy brief

Pragmatic Steps to reinforce the NPT on the way towards the 2026 Review Conference

This policy brief outlines key issues as identified by ELN network members that will be at the centre of the 11th Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT) review cycle and offers actionable recommendations and pathways to diplomatic success. It also charts some of the different scenarios that NPT states parties will have to consider as they prepare for the 2026 NPT Review Conference.

11 December 2023
Global SecurityArms ControlNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsSecurity
Policy brief

Weathering the storm: A scenario-based approach to strengthening the NPT

At a moment where the risk of use of nuclear weapons remains dangerously elevated, the PrepComs leading up to the next NPT Review Conference present an opportunity for states parties to begin establishing and advancing an agenda to reduce nuclear risks. Using a scenario-based approach, this policy brief takes stock of current geopolitical dynamics and their implications for the long-term health of the NPT and its review process.

11 December 2023
Global SecurityArms ControlNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear Weapons
Commentary

Pragmatic steps forward: How to protect the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and get the review cycle on the right track

To prevent a further erosion of the effectiveness and efficiency of the current review cycle of the NPT, there is an urgent need for action. Michael Biontino looks at what pragmatic proposals could be taken up from the 2023 PrepCom Chair’s recommendations and the working paper from the Chair of the working group on further strengthening the review process of the NPT.

22 November 2023 | Michael Biontino
Global SecurityNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlNuclear Weapons
Commentary

Expanding the UN General Assembly’s role in managing disarmament and non-proliferation challenges

The Humanitarian Initiative’s successful shift to the UN General Assembly (UNGA) has spotlighted deficiencies in the operational methods and practices of the NPT Review Process. Konstantin Larionov assesses specific aspects of the UNGA’s proceedings that could enhance the performance of NPT meetings. He argues that expanding the roles and functions of the UNGA is crucial for advancing non-proliferation and disarmament commitments, which have faced decades-long obstacles within the NPT.

30 October 2023 | Konstantin Larionov
Global SecurityNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear Weapons
Commentary

Naval nuclear propulsion and IAEA safeguards: A view from the PrepCom

Noah Mayhew, Senior Research Associate at the Vienna Centre for Peace and Disarmament, reflects on how the political debate around the Australia-United Kingdom-United States (AUKUS) partnership is evolving at the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and offers insights on potential productive steps forward.

26 September 2023 | Noah Mayhew
Global SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlNuclear WeaponsUnited States