Dr Alexander Graef and Tim Thies look at what kind of arms control might be feasible in the context of evolving multipolar strategic rivalry by drawing on lessons from the past. They argue that the US and NATO allies should pursue limited yet necessary arms control measures that enhance their security.
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ELN Senior Associate Fellow Ilana Bet-El looks at the problems inherent both in the Dayton Agreement and its implementation – and offers recommendations for how they could be avoided in a future post-war agreement in Ukraine.
Dr Ian Anthony examines confidence and security building measures (CSBMs) in Central and Eastern Europe and notes steps made by countries such as Belarus, Poland, and Ukraine to create and enhance bilateral discussion formats. This policy brief analyses these measures and examines their applicability to the current conflict in Ukraine and the European security order that will follow the war.
Nuclear decision-making, complexity and emerging and disruptive technologies: A comprehensive assessment
This report looks at how the complex interactions of emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) could impact nuclear decision-making, particularly in an escalating regional conventional conflict. In some scenarios, EDTs could exacerbate nuclear escalation, while in other circumstances they could encourage nuclear restraint.
The Iran Project and the ELN release the findings of a major three-year study on missiles in the Middle East. They find that fresh thinking is needed to reduce the risks attributed to the growing proliferation and development of these weapons.
Emerging & disruptive technologies and nuclear weapons decision making: risks, challenges and mitigation strategies
Bringing together a new generation of experts, this report explores the changing landscape of the nuclear policy field and assesses risks, challenges, and mitigation strategies for nuclear weapon decision making under technological complexity.
On the eve of the seventh round of negotiations on the restoration of the JCPOA – or Iran nuclear deal – the ELN and the Bourse & Bazaar Foundation publish a set of creative ideas to help bridge gaps related to guarantees and sanctions relief.
The ELN convened over 70 experts, researchers, and practitioners from around the world to look at the nexus between disruptive technologies, nuclear decision-making and arms control. This workshop report explores the challenges and opportunities new technologies pose to existing arms control and proposes six policy recommendations.
Mistakes, misunderstandings and miscalculation – reducing the risk of NATO/Russia military incidents and escalation: ELN-LIIA round table report
Ahead of the NATO and Biden-Putin Summits, the ELN and LIIA convened forty senior military and civilian experts from Russia and NATO countries to progress the discussion on NATO/Russia military-to-military dialogue.