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Commentary

South Korea’s dangerous sense of isolation

Tanya Ogilvie-White writes that South Korea is becoming increasingly isolated from its Asia-Pacific security partners – Japan, Australia, the US, and the UK – in the way that it views the threat from North Korea. South Korea’s regional security partners’ increased focus on China and lessened attention on North Korea’s nuclear programme, risks isolating South Korea and undermining proliferation norms. Ogilvie-White argues that heightened collaborations are needed to avoid this.

17 April 2024 | Dr Tanya Ogilvie-White
Asia-PacificGlobal SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaDefenceDeterrenceDPRKForeign policyNorth KoreaNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionUnited KingdomWMDsAPLN
Policy brief

Balancing deterrence with assurances: Policy coordination between security partners in the Asia-Pacific

This ELN and APLN policy brief explores the challenges facing Australia, Japan, South Korea, and the UK in their security strategies towards China and North Korea. The paper argues that these security partners must balance deterrence strategies with providing assurances to adversaries.

31 January 2024 | Joel Petersson Ivre, Oliver Meier, Dr Tanya Ogilvie-White and Rishi Paul
Global SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaDPRKNorth KoreaNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionSecurityUnited Kingdom
Policy brief

Resisting the risks of nuclear mission creep: UK deterrence and emerging strategic threats

In recent years the US and the UK have said they might deter threats arising from emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) with nuclear weapons. This policy shift signals an increased emphasis on nuclear deterrence and challenges the UK’s non-proliferation and disarmament commitments. Instead of aiming to deter the extreme use of EDTs with nuclear weapons, this policy brief argues that the UK and other nuclear weapons states should focus on developing their national resilience to mitigate threats.

8 December 2023 | Julia Berghofer
Global SecurityDeterrenceEmerging technologiesNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsUnited Kingdom
Report

UK thinking on AI integration and interaction with nuclear command and control, force structure, and decision-making

Alice Saltini analyses the British literature on the UK’s perception of military and nuclear applications of AI and their impact on strategic stability and NC3. The paper offers recommendations for unilateral measures that the UK can take, as well as multilateral initiatives within the P5 framework, to address the risks associated with AI in nuclear decision-making

13 November 2023 | Alice Saltini
Global SecurityEmerging technologiesNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsUnited Kingdom
Report

Strategic risks in the Asia-Pacific: Examining Australian, British, Japanese, and South Korean perspectives

A new report from the ELN and the APLN sets out how the UK can strengthen security cooperation in the Asia-Pacific region with South Korea, Japan, and Australia, amidst a deteriorating security environment that threatens to undermine the existing nuclear order.

22 June 2023 | , Maximilian Hoell, Joel Petersson Ivre and Alice Saltini
Global SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaDPRKNorth KoreaNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionSecurityUnited KingdomAPLNELN