Chris Weafer observes that the uniformly negative analysis of Russia’s economic prospects in 2015 obscure a crucial aspect, that the Russian economy may be forced into reforms that will improve growth in the long-term.
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Ben Aris argues that whilst the economic outlook for Russia in 2015 is bad, it is not disastrous. Russia still has the means to manage the current combination of a falling rouble and low oil prices, but requires major reforms if it is to avoid long-term stagnation.
Steven Pifer, the former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine, argues that sanctions may still bring the Russians to the negotiating table as the Russian economy starts to feel the pain.
Andrei Tsygankov, a Russian professor at San Fransisco State University, argues that Western sanctions in response to Russian aggression in Eastern Ukraine are hurting the West, and failing to influence Russia.
Dr William Pomeranz argues that the Brisbane meeting of the G20 is unlikely to change the calculus of any of the major actors in the Ukraine crisis, with Russia’s actions leaving it an outlier within the group of developed states.
Ian Kearns, Director of the ELN, argues that sanctions are not enough and calls for a wider strategic response designed to bring Putin to the negotiating table.