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Commentary

Four ways to strengthen the enforcement of the judgments of the European Court of Human Rights

In September 2022 Russia was expelled from the European Convention on Human Rights due to its invasion of Ukraine. Since then, the remaining member states of the Council of Europe have placed a greater importance on stabilising and safeguarding the European Court of Human Rights system, which currently struggles to implement its judgments and ensure compliance. Nikita Gryazin and Julia Glukhikh explore how to best improve the efficacy of the court in the face of these issues.

11 May 2023 | Julia Glukhikh and Nikita Gryazin
Euro-Atlantic SecurityEUEuropeGovernanceInternational LawRussiaSanctions
Commentary

Can the EU solve Nagorno-Karabakh’s emergency?

This weekend’s meeting between the EU, Azerbaijan and Armenia is timely and important, as there are real risks that the humanitarian emergency in Nagorno-Karabakh may be a prelude to wider escalation in the southern Caucasus, writes Jane Kinninmont. As the Minsk Group of governments tasked with addressing the conflict appears to be barely active, the EU role will be critical.

10 May 2023 | Jane Kinninmont
European DefenceArmeniaCentral AsiaDiplomacyEastern EuropeIranJCPOARussiaTurkey
Commentary

From Russia to Norway: Three scenarios for the Arctic Council’s future after the chairmanship handover

Important questions remain about future Arctic regional cooperation following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Next month, Norway will take over the chairmanship of the Arctic Council from Russia and diplomatic efforts are already underway to ensure the transfer goes as smoothly as possible. Gabriella Gricius explores three possible scenarios of what this Arctic Council could look like.

25 April 2023 | Gabriella Gricius
Euro-Atlantic SecurityArcticClimate changeNATONordic CountriesRussiaRussia-West Relations
Drone warfare
Commentary

The challenges of AI command and control

What do emerging and disruptive technologies like AI mean for the role of humans in war? How might AI-augmented human-machine interaction affect the role of human command in war? And what might an AI commander look like? James Johnson explores these topics and assesses whether or not we are moving towards a situation where AI-enabled autonomous weapons start making strategic decisions, as opposed to humans, during conflict.

12 April 2023 | James Johnson
Global SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaCyberDefenceEmerging technologiesHybrid warfareNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionUnited States
Commentary

Be careful what you wish for: Russia wants to share nuclear weapons with Belarus

The deployment of Russian tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus would increase nuclear risks and undermine key nonproliferation norms, but it would not alter the strategic balance in Europe. For Russia, sharing nuclear weapons with Belarus might well backfire politically. NATO countries should therefore resist the impulse to up the nuclear ante.

6 April 2023 | Katia Glod and Oliver Meier
Euro-Atlantic SecurityBelarusDefenceDeterrenceEastern EuropeMissilesNATONPTProjectNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionRussiaRussia-West RelationsUkraineWMDs
Flickr, Kelly Michals
Commentary

Pillar I: Is disarmament doomed to stay the unfulfilled obligation of the NPT?

As progress on disarmament is stagnating, nuclear risk reduction may hold the key to keeping the pillar alive. Maren Vieluf writes that nuclear weapons states must step up and work tirelessly on risk reduction measures to fulfil their NPT commitments.

5 April 2023 | Maren Vieluf
Global SecurityArms ControlNPTNPTProjectNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionRussia-West RelationsSecurity